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50 pages 1 hour read

Rebecca Yarros

In the Likely Event

Fiction | Novel | Adult | Published in 2023

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Chapters 15-20Chapter Summaries & Analyses

Chapter 15 Summary: “Izzy”

Kabul, Afghanistan: August 2021. Izzy and Jeremy argue in her suite. Jeremy wants Izzy to return to the United States in order to join him on the campaign trail, reminding her that they had a deal by which he promised not to ask her to leave her career if she joined him in campaigning for political office. Izzy says the fact she caught him cheating changes everything. Jeremy insists that his cheating has nothing to do with anything, claiming that their engagement was never about romance, but instead focused on how their families could help one another. Jeremy reminds her of his suggestion that they have an open relationship, but Izzy refuses to entertain the idea of a marriage on these terms, so she returns Jeremy’s ring. Jeremy refuses to take no for an answer, so Izzy has Sergeant Gray escort him from the room.

Chapter 16 Summary: “Nathaniel”

Georgetown: October 2014. Nate and Izzy go to a bar to celebrate her birthday because Nate promised Serena that he would make Izzy leave the apartment. Izzy allows Nate to buy her a single drink but refuses to stay for more than that. They return to her apartment to watch Ladyhawke. As they split some cupcakes, Nate talks about his friends, Rowell and Torres, and offhandedly mentions that Fitz, the soldier Izzy met in Georgia, was killed during deployment.

After the movie, Izzy suggests that they take a trip to Fiji. As they discuss the possibility, Nate gives in to his desire to kiss Izzy, but he refuses to engage in any deeper intimacy with her because he does not want Izzy to commit to him while he is still on active duty in the military. Nate tells Izzy that he would like to go to Fiji, but he cannot commit to it until 2017 when he is up for reenlistment.

Chapter 17 Summary: “Nathaniel”

Kabul, Afghanistan: August 2021. Avoiding Izzy the next morning, Nate has an argument with Torres. After a briefing, however, he seeks Izzy out to explain that three more provinces have fallen, and that going to Kandahar to deliver visas to the girls’ chess team is now too dangerous. However, Izzy is on the phone with Senator Lauren, who informs Nate that the chess team doesn’t trust the people who are supposed to get them out of the country. The senator wants Izzy to deliver the visas in person in order to reassure them. Nate reluctantly agrees to take Izzy to Kandahar airport where the chess team is waiting.

Upon arrival at the Kandahar airport, Nate explains to Izzy that she cannot wander more than 12 inches from him, and that they will only be on the ground for an hour at most. They enter the airport and are informed that the city has fallen, but the airport is still secure. As Nate and Izzy wait to see the chess team, they argue about Jeremy. Suddenly, the runway explodes.

Chapter 18 Summary: “Izzy”

Georgetown: December 2016. Izzy is on a double date with Serena when she receives an alert on her phone informing her that Nate’s mother has died. Izzy dashes out of the diner and catches a plane to Illinois. She arrives as the funeral for Nate’s mother is nearly over, joining the line to offer condolences to the family. Izzy is nervous that she might have overstepped her boundaries by being there, but Nate is glad to see her. Nate and his father get into an argument over the farm that now belongs to Nate, and the words exchanged cause Izzy to realize that Nate’s father was physically abusive to his wife and son. Izzy returns to her hotel room and is just coming out of the shower when Nate knocks on the door. Nate tells her that he needs her, and they become physically intimate. However, Nate again tells Izzy that he cannot commit to a relationship with her.

Chapter 19 Summary: “Izzy”

Kandahar, Afghanistan: August 2021. The runway is hit by several more rockets, and the helicopters leave. Nate tells Izzy that the attack is coming from within the city and there is nothing they can do but wait for it to end. They have to spend the night, so they settle down in the first-class lounge and prepare dinner using military rations commonly known as MREs. Sergeant Gray asks Izzy a barrage of questions about Nate, and she tells them some facts, including the story of how he got the scar on his forehead. Gray asks about Nate’s taped-up dog tags, but Izzy doesn’t know anything about them. At the same time, Izzy learns that Nate’s call sign is Navarre, which is the name of the male protagonist in Ladyhawke.

Chapter 20 Summary: “Nathaniel”

Tacoma, Washington: June 2017. Nate rushes to the airport to make his flight to Fiji. Torres states that Nate picked a bad time to go on vacation since they’ve begun the process of joining Special Forces, but Nate assures Torres that he will return in time. Nate makes his plane and arrives as scheduled at LAX. He waits for Izzy to arrive, but she doesn’t. He isn’t sure what to do when the plane begins boarding and she still isn’t there, but he boards because he talked to her a few days before and she promised to be there. When she does arrive, Izzy tells him that her flight was delayed. Nate can see that she has been crying, and she explains she broke up with a guy she liked because of this trip but assures him it was the right thing to do.

Nate gives Izzy a set of earrings. She initially thinks the box contains an engagement ring and asks him not to propose without warning, and he assures her that he won’t. However, Izzy asks Nate for his opinion on the idea of her taking a job near the base where he is stationed. Nate asks her not to do that because he is attempting to join the Special Forces. They discuss other places they might go together the following year and decide on Palau.

Chapters 15-20 Analysis

In this section of the novel, the author’s early foreshadowing about the depths of Nate and Izzy’s relationship begins to bear fruit, for Yarros uses the flashback chapters to delve into a variety of emotionally laden topics that more clearly delineate each character’s triggers, fears, and weaknesses, as well as the mutual strength and comfort that they find in each other’s company. To this end, The Myriad Effects of Psychological Trauma become even more prominent as the painful elements of Nate’s past and upbringing gradually come to light. The flashback to his mother’s funeral is particularly illuminating, for not only does it provide Izzy a unique glimpse into his problematic family dynamics, but it also opens a path for the two to become more intimate on several different levels. As Izzy observes Nate’s interactions with his father and realizes that Nate himself has experienced The Long-Term Effects of Domestic Violence, she finally receives an answer to the mystery of the injuries that Nate had before the plane crash. This flash of insight also serves to explain the roots of his desire to protect people, for the implication of the scene is that Nate was likely his mother’s protector, guarding her as best he could against his father’s propensity for violence and abuse. Thus, it can be further inferred that this difficult upbringing led him to pursue a larger “protector” role as a member of the military, and he also brings this pattern of behavior to his relationship with Izzy.

Nate’s difficult childhood also causes him to face new traumas with a sense of unflinching resignation, and this character quirk represents a striking example of The Myriad Effects of Psychological Trauma, for he startles Izzy with the offhand and almost nonchalant comment that he makes about Fitz’s death. Nate even seems surprised by Izzy’s reaction when she is shocked by the news, and this exchange demonstrates that his upbringing and his current career path have created a reality in which trauma has become a nearly everyday event for him: something barely worthy of comment. However, with the death of Nate’s mother, many of these unresolved issues manifest in a way that he simply cannot process alone, and this emotional crisis precipitates his decision to turn to Izzy for comfort after the funeral.  

Despite so many early indicators that Nate and Izzy are a good match for each other, significant obstacles to their relationship remain, for Nate’s fear of dying in the line of duty and thereby leaving Izzy alone and abandoned ironically causes him to initiate a different form of abandonment. He refuses to put a label on his relationship with Izzy in a misguided attempt to protect her. Thus, the theme of Abandonment Through Disappointment becomes a serious issue in their various interactions, for Nate’s reluctance to hurt Izzy by getting too close causes him to hold back in ways that are inadvertently hurtful. He also remains unaware that by coming to Izzy for comfort after his mother’s funeral, he has irrevocably deepened the essence of their relationship, committing to her without intending to. No matter how fiercely he resists labeling the relationship, it is still a relationship, and his well-intentioned hesitance to commit fully to Izzy ultimately coincides with her own childhood fear of abandonment and sabotages the connection between them.

Within this understated push-pull dynamic, Nate and Izzy’s trip to Fiji creates further ambiguity, for it is successful in that they both find happiness in each other’s arms during this idyllic time frame. Even though Nate continues to resist Izzy’s desire to build her life around his, he does commit to several more years of these romantic trips. Thus, Nate’s attachment to Izzy is complex in that he won’t let her change his life for him, but he clearly cares for her and wants to be with her despite his fears. This pattern of behavior continues into the future and manifests yet again in Afghanistan, for when Izzy and Nate find themselves stranded at the Kandahar airport, Izzy learns that Nate uses “Navarre” as his call sign and realizes that this decision is a reference to Ladyhawke: the movie that inspired Izzy’s name and that they watched together on her birthday so long ago. It is also significant that the plot of the movie parallels Izzy and Nate’s relationship, for the protagonists of the movie are lovers who are kept apart because a curse has been placed upon them. Thus, the understated implication of this allusion speaks to Nate and Izzy’s inherent compatibility even as it emphasizes the obstacles that still come between them.

Given this additional context, the character of Jeremy clearly acts as a foil for Nate, for when Jeremy casually dismisses his own infidelity and expects Izzy to acquiesce to the prospect of a loveless marriage that would only function on paper, his coldly pragmatic attitude demonstrates his lack of regard for the woman who is currently his fiancé. Unlike Nate, Jeremy doesn’t care for Izzy in the way that a proper fiancé should, and his behavior stands in contrast to Nate’s many proofs of love and devotion over the years. This comparison between the two men shows the depth of Nate’s feelings more clearly and illustrates the indifferent nature of the world that Izzy grew up in, for her relationship with Jeremy is a result of the selfish influences of her parents. They are interested in Izzy’s relationship only because they believe that a family connection to Jeremy, who is destined for a life of politics, will be a boost to their business. Thus, their emphasis on personal gain over familial devotion only shows the true extent of their indifference to their daughter’s happiness. It also reinforces Izzy’s fear of abandonment, touching again on the theme of Abandonment Through Disappointment that haunts her even in her adult life.

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