53 pages • 1 hour read
Craig WhitlockA modern alternative to SparkNotes and CliffsNotes, SuperSummary offers high-quality Study Guides with detailed chapter summaries and analysis of major themes, characters, and more.
When Barack Obama became president in January 2009, he kept on Robert Gates as Secretary of Defense and had Gates promptly dispense with David McKiernan, who had been the US NATO commander since the previous October. Obama was planning a large increase of troops, and while the administration publicly stated that it was just time for a change, speculation swirled that McKiernan was gone because he had been forthright in his criticisms of the war. Obama promised a strategic reorientation, but especially by keeping Gates, he basically accepted the existing plan of providing security long enough to establish an Afghan army and police. The same problems persisted regarding defining victory, classifying friend from foe, and alienating the public they were supposed to be protecting. For a new commander, Obama brought in Stanley McChrystal, who had made a name for himself leading Special Operations Command in Iraq, dealing a major blow to its Al Qaeda affiliate there. McChrystal saw his success in Iraq as a part of a broad counterinsurgency strategy, which would require a huge influx of troops and resources. However, McChrystal’s plan took little account of the massive differences between Iraq and Afghanistan—the former was unambiguously a combat zone, whereas the latter was more of a peacekeeping mission for many NATO contingents.
McChrystal further assumed that “most Afghans saw the Taliban as oppressors and would side with the Afghan government if it could provide security and reliable public services” and downplayed the key role of Pakistan in the war (151). Recently retired general Eikenberry told Obama to reject the plan for a counterinsurgency that would only “dig [them] in more deeply” (152). Obama tried to split the difference, accepting a surge in troops but not at numbers McChrystal was requesting. Obama then added the further condition of a timeline whereby the number of troops would start going down after 18 months. McChrystal publicly defended this move as an opportunity to win the war in a narrow timeframe, while he and others fretted in private that it was a signal to the enemy to wait them out. With the timeline ticking down, the Obama administration proved no less susceptible than its predecessors to making triumphalist public statements about the war’s trajectory. Then, Obama suddenly fired McChrystal for comments he made to Rolling Stone magazine disparaging Obama, Vice President Biden, and others, replacing him with David Petraeus, considered the main architect of the counterinsurgency doctrine in Iraq.
At an address to the United States Military Academy at West Point in December 2009, President Obama announced the surge of troops to Afghanistan, promising that he would do everything possible to limit the costs. However, given the tight timeframe for the surge and the still-limited reach of the Afghan government, the US ended up pouring enormous sums of money in a short amount of time, overwhelming the country’s limit capacity. Funds went to practically any project that might “win loyalty from the populace, with little concern for expense” (158), leading to redundancies, outright waste, and even greater corruption. Western contractors undertook large projects with little concern for local realities and then left them in the care of people who had no idea how to maintain them. In some cases, plans were made and money was allocated to projects that never translated into reality at all. One of the major projects was a hydroelectric dam north of Kandahar, which became symbolic of efforts to fend off the Taliban and deliver a project that met the needs of ordinary Afghans. The project ended up costing hundreds of millions of dollars, wildly disproportionate to any potential benefit and offering a big target right in the middle of enemy territory.
In June 2010, General Petraeus admitted to Congress that the US was indeed involved in “nation-building” despite frequent avowals to the contrary by the administration (163). Petraeus regarded civil infrastructure projects as key to his counterinsurgency strategy, but in the rush to get things done, civilians, military personnel, and subcontractors clashed with each other while often ignoring local wisdom. In one particularly illustrative instance, officials paid a local contractor to build a bridge, which his brother, a member of the local Taliban, would promptly destroy, after which the contractor would receive money for another bridge (165). Convinced that they had to do something, and fast, projects went forward even when those involved were well aware of their illogic. Such projects were supposed to provide quantifiable metrics of success, but any such calculation would take years to provide, and many did more harm than good. When one brigade “was so determined to improve public education that it promised to build fifty schools” (168), the number of schools so vastly outpaced the number of available teachers and students that the empty buildings were then used by the Taliban as bomb factories.
In November 2009, Karzai was celebrating another new term as Afghanistan’s president following a successful reelection, but “behind the scenes, Karzai and the Americans had angrily turned on one another” (170). Karzai’s election was blatantly fraudulent, and US officials were already tried of his rampant corruption. The US in turn infuriated Karzai by promoting alternative candidates and raising the number of troops, which was bound to intensify the fighting within Afghanistan and cause more civilian casualties. Karzai emerged as Afghanistan’s president because he was one of the few Pashtun (the country’s largest ethnic group) tribal leaders to have opposed the Taliban, but his support was always stronger among the international community than within Afghanistan itself. Only timely CIA intervention prevented his capture by the Taliban in the early days of the war, and he arrived at the November 2001 Bonn Conference establishing a new government as the Americans’ hand-picked favorite.
For his first term in office, Karzai had Zalmay Khalilzad as the US ambassador, a Pashtun whom Karzai had known for many years. When Khalilzad was dispatched to Iraq in 2005, “Karzai felt abandoned” (175), especially when his successors probed him about corruption in his inner circle, even as the CIA worked with those same corrupt actors. As a result, the US angered both Karzai and the population who was victimized by his allies’ corruption. Matters became even worse after a US airstrike accidentally bombed a wedding party, initially reporting it as “a large group of enemy fighters” (177). Karzai demanded a government investigation, but the US instead conducted its own investigation and never publicized the results. With every US attack that killed civilians, Karzai appeared like a hapless puppet of an oppressive foreign army while also angering his US sponsors. After his fraudulent electoral victory, US officials were trapped in yet another dilemma of whether to sideline a problematic figure or stick with him for fear of an even worse alternative.
The Obama administration was well aware of the corruption that dominated nearly the whole of the Afghan government and issued concerned public statements. But the administration was still loath to press their allies and took insufficient account of how they contributed to the problem by pouring money into the country. The US placed blame on Afghans for mismanaging money, but the CIA had set a precedent by bribing officials to secure favorable outcomes, and the US embassy was known to pay off lawmakers for their cooperation. By the time the US understood how corruption was undermining faith in the government and fueling support for the Taliban—and formed a small team to rein it in—they discovered a problem so vast that no one wanted to acknowledge it lest they pick a fight with the wrong power broker. They even estimated that “18 percent of the money went to the Taliban and other insurgent groups” through an intricate network of bribes (187).
In January 2010, US forces carried out a raid on a large bank that produced damning evidence of corruption at the highest levels of government. Within months, Karzai and his allies had managed to squash the inquiry, as well as another inquiry into the coverup. That same summer, the chairman of the Kabul Bank revealed to the US embassy how his bank had become an epicenter of money laundering, completely escaping the notice of Treasury Department officials and others dispatched to supervise Afghan finances. When the bank collapsed and was taken over by the government, factions within the government scrambled to maximize their share of its assets. The US helped limit prosecution to a handful of bank officials so as to dissuade Congress from turning on Karzai.
In this section, Whitlock analyzes the transfer of power from George W. Bush to Barack Obama, citing discrepancies between Obama’s rhetoric and actual policy decisions in order to support the claim that there were no truly radical shifts in US policy toward Afghanistan. This transfer of power was portended at the time to be a transformative moment. Obama was comparatively young and cosmopolitan, having spent part of his childhood in a Muslim-majority country and potentially serving as a bridge between the United States and the rest of the world. His cabinet would not feature the cast of “cold warriors” who had spent decades viewing US foreign policy principally in terms of threats and military responses. Obama stunned the political establishment by winning the Democratic primary over Hillary Clinton, a centrist who had voted as a Senator to authorize the Iraq War, which Obama denounced as a dangerous distraction. However, Whitlock argues that the Obama administration did not constitute a radical departure from the Bush administration’s orientation toward Afghanistan.
To be sure, there were meaningful differences in the new administration’s policies. Obama ended the widespread practice of torture in US prisons, although he refused to prosecute any of the main offenders and only published a heavily redacted report offering little in the way of new information. He would negotiate an end to the Iraq War in 2011, although the rise of ISIS prompted the US military to return. Obama’s recommitment to Afghanistan was meant to be a rightsizing of the War on Terror, a recommitment to the part of the war that the American people and the international community recognized as necessary and worthwhile. However, the template for victory here came from the counterinsurgency campaign in Iraq, a vastly different country where the apparent victories of 2007-2008 would prove illusory only a few years later, when ISIS overwhelmed Iraqi forces, seized stockpiles of US weapons, and captured territory including the second-largest city of Mosul. As with the Bush administration, the book traces the failures of the Obama administration to make meaningful progress in Afghanistan to a tendency to draw false parallels between Afghanistan and other US foreign involvement, such as the war in Iraq.
The book argues that, instead of ending or even drawing down the War on Terror, Obama oversaw Mission Creep that was in some ways even more comprehensive than that which preceded him. Obama was unwilling to invade new countries or torture prisoners, but he nevertheless oversaw the massive expansion of a targeted killing program, mostly using armed drones, which vastly expanded the scope of the war. Already engaged in Afghanistan and Iraq, drones would now be killing real and suspected militants in Pakistan, Libya, Somalia, Yemen, and Syria, with special forces training local forces in dozens of other countries.
The promise of counterinsurgency in Afghanistan gave the military a practically unlimited remit to do “anything that might win loyalty from the populace” (158). US diplomats such as Richard Holbrooke, known for his pivotal role in ending the Yugoslav Wars in the 1990s, was calling for “small armies of experts to persuade Afghan poppy farmers to switch to other crops, such as wheat, saffron, pistachios and pomegranates” (256). The idea that the US could reorient Afghan’s agricultural economy was in turn supported by a renewed burst of Willful Blindness no less egregious than the days of Bush and Rumsfeld.
Whitlock further elucidates the role that the evasion of responsibility at both the departmental and individual levels played in exacerbating the situation, and he thereby underscores the idea that the problems in Afghanistan cannot be read as an isolated incident. Bound to an 18-month timeline to suit Obama’s promise to bring forces home by the 2012 election, military and political officials lied even more egregiously about the progress of the war now that victory had a fixed date rather than being in the abstract future. General Stanley McChrystal, widely lauded for his role in building up the Joint Special Operations Command and a highly sought-after speaker for businesses since his retirement, confidently declared that “[they] and the Afghan government [were] going to win,” even as he told his fellow officials that the campaign against the Taliban was a “bleeding ulcer” (153-55).
Meanwhile, the strategy of applying American Solutions for Afghan Problems had always centered around elections and thus encountered its most severe setback yet with Karzai’s blatant rigging of the 2009 presidential election. Karzai recognized that he was at the centerpiece of the American strategy, that they had picked him, and that victory or defeat in Afghanistan would hinge on him keeping his position for as long as he was constitutionally eligible. It therefore did not matter whether or not he was in fact contributing to democracy or good governance—he was a symbol of those things, and in a war where so little was going right, the US was happy to cling to symbols. The book thus lends more evidence to the idea that political maneuvering and concerns about optics played a significant role in driving the contradictions that characterized US policy in Afghanistan.
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