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Jeffrey SachsA modern alternative to SparkNotes and CliffsNotes, SuperSummary offers high-quality Study Guides with detailed chapter summaries and analysis of major themes, characters, and more.
Two undeniable facts frame Sachs’s analysis of China’s economic development: It was almost entirely closed to external trade for 500 years, causing a steady decline in per capita income relative to Europe, and it has seen tremendous growth since 1978. As Sachs puts it, “China has been the world’s most successful economy, growing at an average per capita rate of almost 8 percent per year” in recent decades (155).
The statistics of success are stunning. For example, from 1978 to 2003, the average per-person income has doubled every nine years (a nearly eightfold increase over the period). Further, reduction of extreme poverty has been equally striking, dropping the percentage of people living on less than $1 per day from 64% in 1981 to 17% two decades later.
Unlike Eastern Europe and Russia, China remained a largely agrarian economy in 1980, and not a particularly modernized one at that. Accordingly, the economic issues there were quite different. China was able, for example, to begin its reforms with a tremendous increase in agricultural productivity that permitted radical reforms toward the market. Other features important to Sachs’s differential diagnosis were the lack of significant foreign debt, overseas communities of Chinese investors and models, and a large and accessible coastline for trade.
According to Sachs, China faces primarily political challenges going forward—meaning that it will necessarily require significant political reform. Sachs discusses environmental concerns and the uneven distribution of benefits across China’s geography as additional challenges.
On the whole, the story of China is truly amazing. As Sachs notes, “China’s reforms are reshaping the global economy and global politics” (169).
India was where Sachs was first confronted with extreme poverty (as a graduate student in 1978). Along with the dedication one might expect from that personal history in a book titled The End of Poverty, the broader history of India also becomes relevant to the narrative. India, Sachs points out, has the distinction of being a historically great civilization that literally lost its sovereignty to a private corporation (the British East India Tea Company) in the 19th century.
The history of India, touched on only briefly by Sachs, is important in that it explains how a company of the much smaller British country managed to take over the large, diverse, and productive Indian population in a series of brutal tactics complete by 1858. Essentially, divisions in Indian society (such as those enforced by the strict caste system) created a weakness resulting from lack of internal social cohesion that enabled conquest. From there, the British had disdain for Indians obtaining significant education, for the development of industry in India, and for any sign of humanity toward the Indians. Thus, India suffered regular and devastating famine under British rule that killed many millions as the British refused to intervene, with the last such famine occurring in 1943. India gained independence in 1947, and no famine has occurred since. Thereafter, a series of choices that Sachs presents as reasonable but unhelpful severely limited India’s growth to under 2% per capita until the late 1960s.
Once India undertook market-promoting reforms by the early 1990s, however, it unleased an economic potential akin to that of China. India rapidly became a major player in the exploding information technology arena and, by the time of the book’s publication in 2005, India stood poised to replicate the broader and deeper growth of China in catching up for a long history of stymied economic progress.
While India stands out to Sachs for its lessons in international division of labor and for the fine-grained analysis suggested by its geography and population, the thrust of India’s future appears unquestionable. Along with China, Sachs expects India to “reshape global politics and society” in the 21st century (187), ending the period of Western dominance that began with the Industrial Revolution in England.
Finally, in Chapter 10 Sachs focuses on the seemingly intractable problem of extreme poverty in Africa. Unlike China and India, which have climbed aboard the ladder of economic development with a pent-up zeal likely to transform the world, Africa appears stuck in a preindustrial phase to which the term “economic development” seems to have no application. The chapter addresses why this is so and what, if anything, can be done about it.
Sachs is a firm optimist eager to attack such a morally righteous but practically difficult problem. Subsequent chapters more or less attempt to apply lessons learned in the economic development of other places to the ills of Africa. Differential diagnosis, however, suggests some additional considerations may warrant unique treatment, although Africa does not seem to be a “special case” to Sachs’s mind so much as simply among the last of the world’s regions to receive treatment in the form of meaningful economic support and assistance.
Africa has suffered nearly every form of misfortune and international cruelty known to humanity. This includes the slave trade, colonial brutality, and the damaging monetary policy of the 1980s and 1990s, but there is more to the matter. Africa’s disadvantages also include a nearly unique susceptibility to malaria based on evolution and mosquito species, with the result that the disease spreads in Africa at a rate roughly nine times the rate of transmission in India. This is no one’s fault, but it is not the end of the story.
The ripple effects of malaria on society are often tragic in and of themselves, not only through the dramatic reduction in life expectancy but also because of the reduced resources and education available to children in a region where a particularly high percentage of them are not expected to live to adulthood. Those who do survive lack the advantages that the meager income of the previous generation may have provided them if there was a reliable prospect of their survival. Moreover, malaria causes poverty through its effect on the population (including the probability of reduced intelligence for repeat victims, but mainly through social impacts). Poverty makes it nearly impossible to take even basic measures to reduce the spread of malaria. That is the poverty trap set by malaria.
But it is not only malaria. AIDS produces a similar problem. Upon studying the two diseases as they operate in Africa, Sachs explains that he was stunned and disgusted with the international monetary institutions’ responses. The IMF and World Bank promoted their involvement in development projects that contained minuscule engagement with problems like the African AIDS crisis, even though the cost of treatment would be a small drop in the budget of these institutions and the crisis would be aided phenomenally by their attention.
Thus, Sachs essentially introduces us to his current tasks, of which the book is both a part and a record. Sachs describes his involvement in creating a global AIDS fund, his push-back against international institutions, and similar projects ongoing or recently ended at the time of writing. He also establishes his deep concern and frustration at the difficulty others seem to have in considering evidence that supports the necessity of providing resources to bolster a developing market economy.
In these chapters Sachs discusses the two most important emerging economies of recent decades, which are likely to fundamentally transform the world’s political and economic framework in the 21st century. Both countries have made major strides toward eradicating extreme poverty in the recent past and continue to do so. Therefore, both China and India offer lessons and models that can be applied in other contexts relevant to ending poverty.
Another important point about India and China that Sachs makes clear without emphasizing it (perhaps because it tends to cut against his effort to sell the story that countries merely need help to reach the first rung of the ladder of economic development) is that their development was dramatically delayed by primarily political and social forces. China’s withdrawal from trade was plainly a political move, and its most recent economic boom was just as plainly caused by political changes upon the death of Mao Tse-tung in the late 1970s. In India, British brutality explains much of the delay, but not all of it. Sachs seems to quietly justify India’s initial failures to thrive after independence, but he still acknowledges that the problems were essentially political. Moreover, Sachs notes that the internal divisions of Indian culture were likely a significant factor in why such a large and historically important population was taken under the control of hostile British rule.
What changed in India and China was political; the explosive growth in these countries came after the removal of political strictures that prevented economic growth, even by Sachs’s account. So, do these countries really support Sachs’s thesis? If not, what do they teach about eradicating poverty? To what extent might they play into the arguments that Sachs attempts to counter later in the book, such as those that blame extreme poverty on social and political factors?